Outstanding-Nicety
0x427e27a42ec0b696b8c0eb7d8f9eba8251ad03c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-519.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?
7396 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-49.38
- YES
Will a Democrat win Alabama Presidential Election?
6255 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win South Dakota Presidential Election?
5574 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?
5564 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-52.19
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nebraska Presidential Election?
4250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Louisiana Presidential Election?
4205 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-51.67
- YES
Will a Democrat win Tennessee Presidential Election?
2694 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?
1829 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-51.57
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-56.00
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
488 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthena crash in 2024?$32.47Nov 10, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$10.00Nov 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.40Nov 6, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.47Nov 6, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?$0.39Nov 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.22Nov 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.98Nov 6, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Louisiana Presidential Election?$0.06Nov 6, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?$0.20Nov 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 6, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 6, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$56.00Nov 6, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.90Nov 6, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$54.00Nov 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 6, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$1.18Nov 6, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 6, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kentucky Presidential Election?$0.05Nov 6, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".