Dirty-Mailing
0x428621d9fb60974b9aadcd2524ae8002b8a5fb4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-290.84
Realised
$-11.74
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 27?
308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- YES
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
245 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?
232 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 27?
78 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 16?
61 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?
40 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on June 16?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?
38 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?
32 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?$1.02Jun 30, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?$0.00Jun 30, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$0.97Jun 30, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$4.05Jun 30, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.95Jun 30, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$20.16Jun 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.08Jun 29, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$24.77Jun 29, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$6.09Jun 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$2.06Jun 29, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$2.06Jun 29, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?$2.06Jun 29, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?$4.98Jun 29, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?$5.16Jun 28, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?$13.33Jun 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?$12.06Jun 28, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina leading at halftime?$12.98Jun 28, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?$0.96Jun 28, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina leading at halftime?$8.01Jun 28, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score$2.04Jun 28, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 03:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.