Mature-Marten
0x4286cde73c6b4452a1b9346ee7823ec34152a8e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-577.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in January 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Thunder
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NETS
Lakers vs. Nets
212 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Heat
168 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Rockets
164 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Lakers
58 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Knicks vs. Trail Blazers
53 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Mavericks
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- LAKERS
Bucks vs. Lakers
41 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$4.00May 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$4.00May 23, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 21, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.90May 1, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $700 in April?$1.05May 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.10May 1, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $700 in April?$1.05Apr 30, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$1.10Apr 30, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?$1.04Apr 30, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?$1.05Apr 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.20Apr 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?$1.05Apr 28, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$6.02Apr 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?$6.00Apr 26, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?$1.04Apr 25, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?$2.03Apr 25, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$1.88Apr 24, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.01Apr 24, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$8.01Apr 24, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".