Flaky-Nail
0x4290fa3d74b0decb9e2da0352d750d91652de2c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.3K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
37%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4600 September 1–7?
26648 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-276.76
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on July 18?
21998 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-627.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3100 on July 18?
15502 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-42.97
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 September 8–14?
15077 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-692.04
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 25–31?
13861 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $4100 August 11–17?
10720 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-253.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on August 29?
7757 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-805.38
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4500 September 8–14?
7600 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k August 18–24?
7000 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-345.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5000 September 1–7?
6548 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-202.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$0.00Jan 5, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$0.00Jan 5, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$100.00Jan 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$99.80Oct 29, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Oct 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$100.00Oct 28, 01:36 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$100.00Oct 28, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 23?$100.00Oct 28, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 23?$99.80Oct 23, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 20?$84.70Oct 23, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 20?$84.53Oct 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$53.03Oct 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$39.97Oct 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$30.40Oct 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ET$7.60Oct 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3,700 September 22-28?$7.33Sep 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?$192.00Sep 29, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3,800 September 22-28?$96.51Sep 29, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3,700 September 22-28?$6.00Sep 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $3,600 September 22-28?$8.71Sep 29, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $25.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".