Political-Meander
0x4292411dafae46da20fc599102168064d7cbe83e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.61
Realised
$16.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
182 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?
180 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
47 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
25 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.17
- YES
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Copper (HG) settle over $7.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?
15 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
13 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
12 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$14.39Mar 10, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$14.39Mar 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$10.04Mar 10, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$10.06Mar 10, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$7.13Mar 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$7.20Mar 9, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$6.11Mar 9, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.04Mar 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.06Mar 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.12Mar 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.80Mar 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.32Mar 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$4.44Mar 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$3.12Mar 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.32Mar 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$3.29Mar 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$3.29Mar 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.87Mar 9, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$2.40Mar 9, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.12Mar 9, 06:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 00:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".