Thoughtful-Backup
0x4296492fcdc6b020108e8a583ef0af7bfcc2dbdc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.00
Total PnL
$-0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$12.00
$0.06
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
90 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$0.10Dec 2, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $0.02Nov 11, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $0.04Nov 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $0.03Nov 11, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$11.94Nov 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$0.40Mar 6, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$0.00Mar 6, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$17.77Mar 6, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$29.55Mar 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$31.01Mar 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFulham wins the Premier League?$44.51Mar 6, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFulham wins the Premier League?$44.56Mar 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$17.73Mar 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$30.79Mar 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$29.55Mar 4, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$12.31Mar 4, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$12.17Dec 27, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden resign in November?$12.18Dec 27, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden resign in November?$12.14Nov 26, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in 2024?$12.14Nov 26, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $15.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".