Unacceptable-Hypothesis
0x42978754e5a62fae16cdf363a553f42a8cfde1f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$72.17
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Solana dip to $80 February 16-22?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
3576 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1224 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-301.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
912 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
675 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.51
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8?
515 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
464 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-101.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.35May 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.35May 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$8.48May 10, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$7.65May 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$61.10May 8, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$61.75May 8, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$30.60May 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$22.65May 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$7.97May 6, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$7.94May 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$10.59May 6, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$0.00May 6, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$1.37May 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?$5.33Apr 29, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?$3.61Apr 29, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.40Mar 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 19?$1.40Mar 19, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 19?$5.02Mar 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?$5.02Mar 18, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19?$3.56Mar 18, 14:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.