Firm-Pinot
0x4298ac6e626789ea4b4025388e53d3a2429f88d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$671.22
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-9.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
485 shares @ 83.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$341.92
$-60.62
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
356 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$329.30
$16.02
- UAE
International T20 Series: Italy vs UAE (Game 1)
3600 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 21?
3273 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$174.76Jun 4, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$242.92Jun 4, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$42.42May 28, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$42.98May 28, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$54.74May 28, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$16.66May 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$48.72May 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$12.74May 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$56.00May 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$14.00May 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$51.38May 28, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$12.74May 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$54.32May 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$12.88May 28, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?$45.78May 28, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$310.12May 24, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$313.15May 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$402.54May 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$295.77Apr 25, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$313.28Apr 24, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $306.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".