Frugal-Pilot
0x429be294d605a13b76674478ec68b0c6087eedea
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-83.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?
322 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Bread" in October?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
146 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$6.41Jan 30, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?$2.00Nov 18, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2025-11-18?$2.00Nov 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?$1.00Nov 4, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?$6.33Oct 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 27?$1.00Oct 27, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in October?$1.00Oct 26, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?$1.00Oct 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?$1.00Oct 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union Berlin win on 2025-10-24?$2.00Oct 24, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$2.00Oct 24, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Oct 23, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Northern Ireland vs. Germany end in a draw?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-19?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands vs. Finland end in a draw?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino win on 2025-10-12?$0.00Oct 23, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".