Innocent-Dairy
0x429c1fefe58f88d29897e730e10fcbe6784f3d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$51.23
Total PnL
$0.61
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
8 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.55
$0.25
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.74
$0.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.51
$0.18
- NO
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
6 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$6.35
$0.05
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$6.33
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$6.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.04
- NO
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.07
- NO
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.11
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$6.00Oct 5, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$6.30Sep 29, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$6.30Sep 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$7.30Sep 29, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$6.40Sep 29, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.33May 22, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$10.99Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$10.96Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$9.01Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$10.92Apr 9, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$10.03Apr 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$11.99Apr 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$12.00Apr 5, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2025?$13.00Apr 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?$12.00Apr 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2025?$10.00Apr 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$12.00Apr 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2025?$11.00Apr 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$14.07Apr 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$7.48Apr 5, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.