Ordinary-Assertion
0x42a23dd1ec4c2078fe2ff80b7448046b5af35bc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend?$96.63Mar 17, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$95.94Mar 17, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$90.00Mar 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?$10.69Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$10.09Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$10.53Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?$10.52Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? $11.14Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$12.00Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?$11.43Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$9.38Mar 11, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?$0.00Mar 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?$0.00Mar 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$0.00Mar 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?$0.00Mar 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$15.00Mar 7, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?$10.00Mar 6, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$10.00Mar 6, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$10.00Mar 6, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope in 2025?$10.00Mar 4, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 10:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.