Apprehensive-Ceramic
0x42aa1c98fb82d9413c59c3f432e06a058d735d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.42
Total PnL
$-7.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- YES
Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
5100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.42Feb 2, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Feb 2, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.02Jan 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.10Dec 6, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win on 2025-11-15?$0.00Dec 6, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $1.00Dec 6, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $910 in November?$1.00Dec 6, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2025-11-15?$1.23Dec 6, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.42Dec 6, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?$1.84Dec 6, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?$1.05Nov 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2025-11-15?$1.00Nov 14, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2025-11-15?$1.00Nov 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2025-11-15?$1.00Nov 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$1.40Nov 14, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 14, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$1.01Nov 14, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 10?$1.22Nov 14, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on November 10?$1.22Nov 14, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on November 10?$1.22Nov 10, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.