Kind-Petition
0x42b1de150de7b32b2b7b4328625971c44f33d658
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-252.43
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?
584 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-383.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00AM-5:00AM ET
500 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-244.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?
400 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
197 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-96.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
79 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-46.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7?
64 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-28.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 11?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.74Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.38Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37May 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37May 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.43May 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.35May 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.31May 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.52May 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.04May 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.65May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.21May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.19May 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.27May 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.19May 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.51May 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.26Apr 28, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.46Apr 17, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.00Apr 12, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.27Apr 11, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.66Apr 2, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $47.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.