Sarcastic-Twig
0x42b53f1fa44a03de5f9cb8586fa13ef5ac1cb5b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$39.1K
Total PnL
$2.7K
Realised
$549.02
Win rate
56%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
3568 shares @ 10.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$2.5K
- NO
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$1.4K
$370.00
- NO
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4501 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.3K
$22.05
- NO
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2047 shares @ 58.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.2K
$8.94
- NO
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3325 shares @ 39.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$-99.75
- YES
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1625 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.1K
$32.50
- NO
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1869 shares @ 55.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.1K
$30.01
- YES
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1128 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.1K
$264.66
- NO
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1545 shares @ 64.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$981.07
$-18.53
- NO
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
991 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$852.26
$19.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$40.10Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$4.50Jun 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$3.60Jun 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$3.50Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$4.32Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$0.42Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$42.81Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.06Jun 13, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.07Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$0.34Jun 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$266.16Jun 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.99Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.43Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.32Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.57Jun 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$14.40Jun 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$20.37Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$3.76Jun 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.16Jun 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.60Jun 13, 08:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.