Barren-Discrepancy-Revolver
0x42c2530189678e0ab9a5bb65c11af675e07cbb4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$101.89
Total PnL
$-90.89
Realised
$-2.35
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.90
$-1.50
- YES
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?
40 shares @ 39.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Oct 12, 2026$8.60
$-7.20
- NO
Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?
40 shares @ 44.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$7.60
$-10.00
- YES
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$7.30
$-2.70
- YES
Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$7.20
$-3.20
- NO
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$6.40
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$6.40
$-4.20
- YES
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.70
$-4.10
- NO
Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
20 shares @ 43.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.50
$-3.10
- YES
Will James Taylor be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$5.50
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?$7.60Aug 21, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?$8.60Aug 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?$2.70Aug 21, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?$10.60Aug 21, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?$11.00Aug 21, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?$8.01Aug 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?$8.20Aug 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?$8.20Aug 21, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?$3.50Aug 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?$0.85Aug 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Weverton Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?$9.20Aug 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?$11.40Aug 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?$8.40Aug 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?$5.83Aug 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?$8.80Aug 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?$8.80Aug 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?$8.20Aug 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?$9.80Aug 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLinera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?$7.27Aug 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinera listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?$7.80Aug 21, 13:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 04:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.