Unequaled-Wilderness
0x42ea121d76d54d6bf57e645a57a7100deb65a0b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.15
Total PnL
$-3.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 70K
Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWho will 538 project as favorite on Friday?$1.92Jul 22, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$3.03Jul 22, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump speaks on RNC Day 2?$0.00Jul 17, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$1.00Jul 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will 538 project as favorite on Friday?$1.00Jul 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump speaks on RNC Day 2?$1.00Jul 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$1.00Jul 16, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$1.00Jul 16, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 31?$1.00Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$1.00Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?$1.00Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.