Difficult-Meteor
0x42ecda6adfe8248256a9797ed590a87e94bb2bc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.50
Realised
$-3.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in December 2025?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET
33 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$1.00Jan 9, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$1.00Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 7, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1AM ET$1.00Dec 31, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET$1.00Dec 31, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Dec 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Dec 31, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.41Dec 31, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Dec 31, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.49Dec 31, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 25, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.61Dec 25, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Colts$0.00Dec 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Colts$1.00Dec 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.02Dec 22, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2025-09-09?$0.00Dec 21, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$0.00Dec 20, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".