Academic-Reality
0x42f107db666679c1598ad7b79efe41f4a4354e3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$511.23
Total PnL
$-1.05
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
506 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$504.23
$2.28
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.00
$0.04
- YES
Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?
120 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Aug 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.