False-Set
0x42f56977cfea1679f24ca3ce7bef7b75ce62574c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.57
Total PnL
$-71.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.24
$0.07
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1AM ET
4264 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET
3033 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12AM ET
600 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?$1.12May 24, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$2.17May 24, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.15May 24, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.03May 24, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$1.30Apr 20, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.39Apr 20, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$4.51Apr 20, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$4.00Apr 20, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.20Apr 20, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.20Apr 20, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$1.00Apr 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.18Apr 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.22Apr 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.20Apr 20, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.41Apr 20, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.59Apr 20, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.64Apr 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.36Apr 20, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.18Apr 20, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2AM ET$0.82Apr 20, 06:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".