Criminal-Alpha
0x42f5b199004c80f54f319fe17d90262fa4a39406
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$9.40
Total PnL
$-707.92
Realised
$1.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$-4.44
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$-6.16
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
219 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-154.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
179 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-85.78
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
140 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-134.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$87.14Feb 17, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$87.13Feb 17, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$85.40Feb 17, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$53.38Feb 17, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$50.00Feb 17, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$82.02Feb 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$81.20Feb 17, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$81.20Feb 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$80.39Feb 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$10.00Feb 17, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$100.00Feb 17, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$102.02Feb 16, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$101.00Feb 16, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$146.46Feb 16, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$145.00Feb 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$192.91Feb 16, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$190.99Feb 16, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$101.01Feb 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$100.00Feb 16, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $121.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".