Short-Term-Ultimatum
0x430725b60fcf7512dfcfd877e33c65d7c4585eac
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$29.26
Total PnL
$-10.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
29 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$29.26
$4.26
- YES
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$20.00Mar 3, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?$7.14Feb 28, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMUC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadors$8.58Feb 27, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Clippers$13.16Feb 27, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?$5.00Feb 27, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?$5.00Feb 27, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$8.08Feb 27, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$5.00Feb 27, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$5.00Feb 27, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN Matadors$5.00Feb 27, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Clippers$10.00Feb 27, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $8.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.