Eager-Embellishment
0x4309bbb66cdb56e6c9561ff03b3cfd04ad88d11e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.38
Total PnL
$-573.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 95.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.41
$-0.16
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.97
$-0.10
- TAFA
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkos
398 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- TEIXEIRA
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
278 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-199.89
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Guatemala win on 2025-10-14?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-14?
52 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.81Jun 4, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$110.11May 19, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$110.00May 19, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$4.02May 19, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$8.14May 19, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?$3.07Apr 20, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.57Apr 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$4.01Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.80Mar 19, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$8.06Mar 14, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$29.32Mar 14, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$101.59Mar 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$29.00Dec 6, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$99.65Dec 6, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 in November?$2.1KDec 6, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in November?$2.1KNov 14, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$95.38Nov 14, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$95.48Nov 14, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 in October?$96.19Nov 14, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$101.80Nov 14, 22:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $243.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".