Probable-Waist
0x4309df9b1c5446215045108fc63a10c882fd907c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.92
Total PnL
$-19.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
514 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.54
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
385 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$3.04Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$5.33Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.01Jun 13, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.35Jun 13, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$8.00Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.13Jun 13, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.34Jun 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.61Jun 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.33Jun 13, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$2.94Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.27Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.16Jun 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.01Jun 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$6.07Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.23Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$5.49Jun 13, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$5.03Jun 13, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.