0x430cb9225b04e393b2626ba689f7bfbe883d33a0
0x430cb9225b04e393b2626ba689f7bfbe883d33a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$218.33
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
158 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$157.82
$20.86
- NO
[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$37.50
$7.50
- NO
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$18.75
$3.75
- NO
Will the FDV of OpenSea's token be above $15b 1 week after launch?
9 shares @ 54.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2023$4.26
$-0.40
- NO
NHL: Will the Flames beat the Jets by more than 1.5 goals in their February 21 matchup (4 PM ET)?
3114 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- NO
NBA: Will the Timberwolves beat the Pacers by more than 6.5 points in their February 13 (3 PM ET) matchup?
2650 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
NHL: Will the Wild beat the Senators by more than 1.5 goals in their February 22 matchup (7 PM ET)?
2628 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- NO
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Wizards by more than 4.5 points in their March 11 (10.30 PM ET) matchup?
2562 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15?
2523 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- NO
NHL: Will the Predators beat the Canucks by more than 1.5 goals in their February 1 matchup (8 PM ET)?
2424 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2022$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.