Old-Complexity
0x431552c3a89f647cd4ea1cf4980bb742eabd992c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-312.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
28483 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
28483 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Georgia be the closest state?
11198 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-804.83
- GEORGIA
Will Kamala do better in Georgia or Wisconsin?
3230 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-532.09
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 3.0-4.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 6.0-7.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 8.0-9.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 4.0-5.0%?
10 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$28.48Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$4.34Dec 3, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.24Dec 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.47Dec 3, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.13Dec 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.28Dec 3, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.09Dec 3, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.21Dec 3, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.21Dec 3, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.39Dec 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.38Dec 3, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.01Dec 3, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".