Primary-Manacle
0x4317895be67b3acd0f1babb1959843ce90ebf320
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on October 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will VVD win 16–17 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on October 30?$2.00Oct 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 30?$1.00Oct 30, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD win 16–17 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?$2.00Oct 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$2.00Oct 30, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.00Oct 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be between 75% and 78% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?$3.00Oct 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be at least 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".