Rough-Approval
0x431dbe6f6daf474305d19b3f52756026b900270a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
4500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 27-November 2?
2300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-135.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Warriors
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Cavaliers
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Lakers
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KRAKEN
Kraken vs. Stars
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska$1.01Jun 3, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Predators$1.01Jun 3, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Timberwolves$1.01Jun 3, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Knicks$1.48Jun 3, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$1.00Apr 15, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$1.00Apr 15, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMManhattan Jaspers vs. Fairfield Stags$1.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMDelaware State Hornets vs. Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks$1.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWarriors vs. Rockets$1.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$1.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Spurs$1.02Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMUT Arlington Mavericks vs. Tarleton State Texans$1.02Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMLightning vs. Jets$1.02Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Magic$1.79Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMUtah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds$2.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMRutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans$3.01Apr 15, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Jets$1.00Mar 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Spurs$1.00Mar 6, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Timberwolves$1.00Mar 6, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".