Roasted-Radiosonde
0x43203986b3435a9faf500f415efbbd32c3d79f1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$13.10
Total PnL
$-27.73
Realised
$-2.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?
8 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$8.00
$2.64
- YES
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 63.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.40
$1.24
- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
2 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.70
$0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 16?
818 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$6.32Mar 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$4.92Mar 16, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.98Mar 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.45Mar 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.48Mar 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.24Mar 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.67Mar 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.67Mar 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.52Mar 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.12Mar 16, 16:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".