Intrepid-Brink
0x43232d9094d98a0144c81d837a1e36bd1320f818
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-314.20
Win rate
3%
150 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on July 1?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 30?
2513 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?
2293 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 104-105°F on June 30?
2019 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 5°C on July 2?
2016 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?
1973 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 30?
1019 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 1?
980 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or below on July 1?
975 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 28?
934 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-43.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?$1.14Aug 12, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?$0.48Aug 12, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?$5.22Aug 12, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?$4.63Aug 12, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?$0.60Aug 12, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?$1.33Aug 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?$1.88Aug 11, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?$1.45Aug 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?$3.71Aug 11, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?$0.90Aug 11, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?$1.04Aug 11, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?$1.41Aug 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?$8.08Aug 11, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?$1.86Aug 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?$0.55Aug 11, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?$0.03Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?$0.50Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 13?$0.60Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?$2.00Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 13?$2.06Aug 11, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 150 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
150 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 150 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.