Natural-Wire
0x433591131e79c2e2bfb1cf443448ced10de26842
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.33
Total PnL
$-126.95
Realised
$4.71
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.33
$0.07
- YES
Will BNB reach $1100 in January?
3238 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will BNB reach $1300 in January?
2592 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
212 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
105 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
52 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
39 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
31 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
27 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.67Mar 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.09Mar 7, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.01Mar 7, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$3.08Mar 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$2.16Mar 7, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.24Mar 7, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.22Mar 7, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.75Mar 7, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.56Mar 7, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.46Mar 7, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.