Evergreen-Pain
0x43385144c847d9c7e6557d6d53ac4718b46e3359
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-964.59
Realised
$-16.64
Win rate
5%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?
485 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 13?
361 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on July 13?
308 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 10?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?
179 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 13?
176 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?
161 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 13?
154 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 10?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?$403.49Jul 16, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?$1.04Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 14?$1.00Jul 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 13?$12.14Jul 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 13?$91.10Jul 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 13?$2.10Jul 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 13?$30.84Jul 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 13?$51.12Jul 13, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 11?$0.01Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on July 12?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 30?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 2?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on July 10?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 30?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 30?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 11?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 28?$0.01Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?$0.00Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 12?$101.42Jul 12, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
42 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $21.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.