Sour-Puzzle
0x433f4d80a304aa6e0acc4b2c8c42dd2c0ca23af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$48.30
Total PnL
$6.50
Realised
$4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
New Pope in 2025?
18 shares @ 68.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.60
$5.60
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
8 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$8.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
5 shares @ 83.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$4.79
$0.79
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
3 shares @ 88.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
3 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$3.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Apr 25?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Ukraine join NATO before July?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$1.00Apr 22, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$2.00Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110k in April?$1.00Apr 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100k in April?$1.00Apr 22, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$1.00Apr 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Apr 25?$1.00Apr 21, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$2.13Apr 21, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?$1.03Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$1.04Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Zelenskyy in March?$1.06Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" by March 28?$1.39Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$2.23Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Zelenskyy in March?$1.00Mar 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" by March 28?$1.00Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be out as Federal Reserve Chair in Trump's first 100 days?$1.00Mar 22, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$1.00Mar 22, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 22, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Mar 22, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Mar 22, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$2.70Mar 22, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 09:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".