Musty-Polarisation
0x43460cef4e37ab3675b24a9c48de5042248c62a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.29
Total PnL
$-13.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.29
$0.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2088 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2075 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2066 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2056 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2055 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2054 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2051 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2041 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2039 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.06Mar 18, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$1.05Mar 18, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$7.12Mar 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$7.11Feb 5, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS congress stock trading ban in 2025?$1.01Feb 5, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.04Feb 5, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.06Feb 5, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$1.00Jan 9, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.0KDec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Dec 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.0KDec 4, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$252.00Dec 4, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $474.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".