Well-To-Do-Pitch
0x4346e73519560638ffeed0af786e8cb44e49c0fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-237.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 2?
219 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 23?
216 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
213 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?
184 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 29?
169 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 2 above $445?
169 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on March 2?
165 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
128 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 23?
110 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?$5.15May 8, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 23-29?$0.00May 1, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$1.12Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 20?$1.98Apr 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 13 2026?$61.80Apr 17, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$56.36Apr 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$0.11Apr 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 13?$54.00Apr 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$1.78Apr 11, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$63.13Apr 11, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with King of Morocco Mohammed VI in February 2026?$0.00Mar 31, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 March 23-29?$1.60Mar 29, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$62.12Mar 29, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2AM ET$0.00Mar 29, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 29?$2.37Mar 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 27?$3.66Mar 27, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on March 24?$65.26Mar 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 24?$62.65Mar 24, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Kamala" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)$10.81Mar 24, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?$2.60Mar 23, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.