Confused-Chaplain
0x434d2cddcc298c1d549c2f6a902c59b4f1c83774
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$604.50
Total PnL
$-881.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$604.50
$-15.50
- YES
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3609 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?
1500 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-255.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?
1429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1257 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-201.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$638.23Jun 7, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$210.00Oct 15, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?$101.01Oct 11, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?$100.00Oct 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$268.42Sep 26, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?$100.00Sep 24, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3400 in September?$255.00Sep 3, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$201.12Sep 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?$100.00Sep 3, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,100-3,200 at the end of 2025?$100.00Sep 3, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $219.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.