Merry-Respite
0x434e339cc24307a31702358368e751dd62d2bc84
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-327.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on December 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?$5.21May 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?$5.01May 9, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverev$5.43May 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Daniel Altmaier vs Alexander Zverev$5.01May 8, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLShymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Mathys Erhard$9.53Apr 21, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYShymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Mathys Erhard$5.95Apr 21, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$3.00Mar 30, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-03-29?$2.87Mar 30, 07:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Mar 30, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-03-29?$2.35Mar 29, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$2.35Mar 29, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$1.69Mar 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 16, 12:23 UTC
- REWARD$0.78Mar 5, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Mar 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$29.31Mar 4, 18:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $33.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 19:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".