Wry-Anger
0x434fdb7848ebbd1e38aafe005a386847a5ff580b
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$667.51
Total PnL
$-159.35
Realised
$-4.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
172 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$170.89
$0.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
151 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$151.00
$22.65
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
129 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$129.01
$5.81
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
116 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$116.01
$0.12
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
110 shares @ 95.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$100.60
$-4.79
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
249 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-124.50
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
135 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.