Frightened-Tension
0x4354ed6b98a90da0e699ff24150212f7611089a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
35657 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.97
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
8309 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-251.33
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
5252 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
1054 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.06
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
831 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.36
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?
727 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
574 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
413 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-148.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
392 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
370 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-218.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$73.66May 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$177.68May 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$44.70May 21, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.69May 18, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$131.88May 18, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 6?$64.50May 6, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$64.48May 6, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$82.00May 4, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$12.43May 3, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.68May 3, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$8.00Apr 27, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$88.28Apr 27, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$25.11Apr 27, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$25.11Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$97.07Apr 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$107.91Apr 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$110.73Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $72.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.