Obedient-Sort
0x43579e6699bba336308a6d4a4dc3a68dbb93951b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-289.56
Realised
$15.63
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on April 30?
606 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 30?
305 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 30?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 30?
288 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 30?
284 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
222 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 30?
216 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 30?
206 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on April 30?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.13Apr 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.48Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.64Apr 30, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.38Apr 30, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.54Apr 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.56Apr 30, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.03Apr 30, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.08Apr 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.01Apr 30, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.46Apr 30, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.04Apr 30, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.01Apr 30, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$4.06Apr 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.22Apr 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.05Apr 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.72Apr 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.07Apr 30, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$2.06Apr 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.90Apr 30, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.06Apr 30, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.