Smoggy-Republican
0x435c17dad6e4d48791e0936ae6d0c1198b67f2a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$64.80
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
65 shares @ 81.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$64.80
$11.80
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
3095 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
1811 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
1025 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
722 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
690 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?
305 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-54.99
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$53.00May 5, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$200.00May 5, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$357.14May 5, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$100.00Jan 26, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$100.00Jan 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?$1.19Jan 20, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?$53.80Jan 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?$15.00Jan 20, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$65.00Nov 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$65.00Nov 30, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Trail Blazers$100.00Nov 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$100.00Nov 16, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$500.00Nov 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$150.00Nov 12, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$150.00Nov 12, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $118.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".