0x436fb020fccd4f7a6e8a8c3a0d0f099265f16fc6
0x436fb020fccd4f7a6e8a8c3a0d0f099265f16fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-310.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
1586 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1161 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-35.33
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
876 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-113.00
- YES
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?
113 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
83 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- TRUMP
Who will win women?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?
14 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$113.00Aug 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$100.00Jan 31, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$416.83Jan 31, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$243.79Jan 5, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$35.33Dec 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$12.00Dec 27, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30?$0.54Oct 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?$0.55Oct 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYScholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?$10.00Oct 28, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win women?$3.00Oct 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump drop out of presidential race?$1.13Oct 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$10.00Oct 28, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$25.00Oct 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?$609.18Oct 28, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?$0.94Oct 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?$50.74Sep 28, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $108.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".