Kindly-Sentencing
0x437b397e260909cff139ed6fbb5190e682c21840
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
171
Open notional
$27.04
Total PnL
$-873.12
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
22 shares @ 69.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.71
$2.81
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
34 shares @ 44.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.34
$-5.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?
265 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?
173 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 8?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 8?
80 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 8?
68 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 8?
59 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 8?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?
48 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?$9.18Jun 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$2.75Jun 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$41.71Jun 17, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 17?$32.65Jun 17, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 17?$21.17Jun 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$10.19Jun 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?$17.05Jun 17, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$6.12Jun 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$1.92Jun 16, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?$3.98Jun 16, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLHSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Zachary Svajda$24.97Jun 15, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Zachary Svajda$24.00Jun 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$3.58Jun 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$24.25Jun 15, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$5.84Jun 15, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?$16.94Jun 15, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$24.64Jun 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$24.27Jun 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$23.93Jun 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Athletics$24.74Jun 14, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $20.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.