Second-Lobby
0x438daf5c06f59868831c7e7ebfa7b38628941009
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$8.61
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$6.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?$599.40Oct 31, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?$0.50Oct 27, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?$606.00Oct 27, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?$611.38Oct 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?$614.00Oct 27, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? $1.01Oct 27, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95-97?$1.01Oct 27, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.01Oct 27, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? $1.00May 20, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.00May 20, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 95-97?$1.00May 20, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? $0.66May 20, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mason Graham be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.01May 20, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$2.03May 20, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June? $1.00Mar 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?$3.00Mar 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.00Mar 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.99Mar 20, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?$3.00Feb 26, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $65.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.