Luminous-Diam
0x438ed5bed99bc6b517e9b5a22ad3ee9e21d9e08e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$19.1K
Total PnL
$-534.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19024 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.2K
$5.7K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19024 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8K
$-5.7K
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Colorado Rapids next?
46 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$45.90
$16.38
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$26.77
$-4.72
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?
26 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$13.94
$-2.70
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for D.C. United next?
13 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.98
$4.66
- NO
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for San Jose Earthquakes next?
17 shares @ 89.0¢·now 52.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.00
$-6.14
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
1740 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-243.62
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
300 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-111.00
- NO
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
283 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-186.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.69Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.69Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.54Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.6KJul 20, 15:40 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.46Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.