Untrue-Downforce
0x43928e9bcdaff3068b3027a7150dc09222c15723
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$90.67
Realised
$-13.58
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1032 shares @ 22.4¢·now 33.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$344.19
$113.20
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.92
$1.92
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$101.52
$1.52
- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
105 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.05
$1.05
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 88.9¢·now 87.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$98.03
$-1.97
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
302 shares @ 17.4¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$38.77
$-13.73
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 58.9¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$38.18
$8.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 65.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.54
$3.54
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
276 shares @ 12.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.96
$-17.04
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 12.7¢·now 19.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.16
$6.16
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.