Honorable-Antennae
0x439ce975628177ce2ff1d95908fee2810394908e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-167.22
Realised
$7.41
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
2790 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
126 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?
71 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?
61 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.16
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 11?
44 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$10.44Jul 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.93Jul 9, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.03Jul 9, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.07Jul 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.16Jul 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 7?$16.85Jul 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 7?$10.46Jul 7, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.14Jul 7, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4.15Jul 7, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 6, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.07Jul 6, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$8.71Jul 2, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.11Jul 2, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.15Jul 2, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.19Jul 2, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.00Jul 2, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.11Jul 2, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 2?$2.07Jul 1, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.22Jun 30, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.