Reckless-Wax
0x439e45c57b0b153cabbab410160bdd958df47cb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$10.52
Total PnL
$-8.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
1 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?$1.00Aug 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?$1.00Aug 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?$1.00Aug 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?$1.00Aug 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?$1.00Aug 5, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?$1.00Aug 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5?$1.00Aug 5, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$1.00Jul 27, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Belgian GP: Leclerc vs. Verstappen$1.00Jul 27, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?$1.00Jul 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million", "Billion", or "Trillion" 15+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in July?$1.00Jul 15, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.00Jul 15, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) $0.00Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$0.00Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.00Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?$1.27Jul 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?$1.00Jul 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen in July?$1.00Jul 13, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 23:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".