Probable-Icon
0x439f10990d11dbf3d06b54aad843cb391fb3bded
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$11.93
Total PnL
$-26.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.93
$1.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?
564 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.80Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMSaski Baskonia vs. Joventut$6.67Jun 4, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$120.24Jun 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$120.01Jun 3, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$5.05Jun 3, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaski Baskonia vs. Joventut$5.04Jun 3, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?$1.07Jun 3, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?$1.07Jun 3, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?$1.07Jun 3, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 06:46 UTC
- REWARD$2.30May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$137.80May 29, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$143.10May 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$4.52May 29, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$4.52May 29, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 28?$20.03May 29, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$120.24May 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 28?$20.00May 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$120.02May 27, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $22.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".