Linear-Democracy
0x43ad83eb23e16b0f9988f59d9a33c85eb040da5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.19
Realised
$97.39
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
2000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-37.59
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$37.82Feb 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$47.82Feb 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$2.69Feb 16, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$3.00Feb 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$7.00Feb 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$11.09Feb 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.10Feb 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.50Feb 15, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$14.70Feb 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$7.50Feb 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.20Feb 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$14.00Feb 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.00Feb 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$18.00Feb 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$18.00Feb 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$66.35Feb 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1.38Feb 10, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.