0x43c4ac916b610ba512c13341245512f6485bf461
0x43c4ac916b610ba512c13341245512f6485bf461
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-9.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
6289 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 8?
5908 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
4237 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
2637 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-163.30
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2564 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
2501 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
1875 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 13?
1000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
966 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
894 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 27?$20.00Oct 26, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$100.00Oct 26, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 13?$110.00Oct 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Oct 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $126,000 on October 8?$200.00Oct 7, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$473.68Oct 7, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$503.31Oct 7, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$50.00Nov 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$50.00Nov 5, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$50.00Nov 5, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$300.00Nov 5, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154$13.89Nov 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$30.00Nov 2, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$40.00Nov 2, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$75.00Nov 2, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$71.55Nov 2, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$100.00Nov 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$150.00Nov 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14$100.00Nov 2, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$100.00Nov 2, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $90.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".